Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Jun 9th, 2021

Dave Lacusta • June 9, 2021

Bank of Canada will hold current level of policy rate until inflation objective is sustainably achieved, continues quantitative easing


The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent. The Bank is maintaining its extraordinary forward guidance on the path for the overnight rate. This is reinforced and supplemented by the Bank’s quantitative easing (QE) program, which continues at a target pace of $3 billion per week.


With COVID-19 cases falling in many countries and vaccine coverage rising, global economic activity is picking up. Growth remains uneven across regions, however. The US is experiencing a strong consumer-driven recovery and a rebound is beginning to take shape in Europe, while a resurgence of the virus is hampering the recovery in some emerging market economies. Financial conditions remain highly accommodative, reflected in broadly higher asset prices. Commodity prices have risen further, notably oil, and the Canadian dollar has seen a further appreciation.


In Canada, economic developments have been broadly in line with the outlook in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Despite the second wave of the virus, first quarter GDP growth came in at a robust 5.6 per cent. While this was lower than the Bank had projected, the underlying details indicate rising confidence and resilient demand. Household spending was stronger than expected, while businesses drew down inventories and increased imports more than anticipated. Renewed lockdowns associated with the third wave are dampening economic activity in the second quarter, largely as anticipated. Recent jobs data show that workers in contact-sensitive sectors have once again been most affected. The employment rate remains well below its pre-pandemic level, with low wage workers, youth and women continuing to bear the brunt of job losses.


With vaccinations proceeding at a faster pace, and provincial containment restrictions on an easing path over the summer, the Canadian economy is expected to rebound strongly, led by consumer spending. Housing market activity is expected to moderate but remain elevated. Strong growth in foreign demand and higher commodity prices should also lead to a solid recovery in exports and business investment. Despite progress on vaccinations, there continues to be uncertainty about the evolution of new COVID-19 variants. More broadly, the risks to the inflation outlook identified in the April MPR remain relevant.


As expected, CPI inflation has risen to around the top of the 1-3 percent inflation-control range, due largely to base-year effects and much stronger gasoline prices. Core measures of inflation have also risen, due primarily to temporary factors and base year effects, but by much less than CPI inflation. While CPI inflation will likely remain near 3 percent through the summer, it is expected to ease later in the year, as base-year effects diminish and excess capacity continues to exert downward pressure.


The Governing Council judges that there remains considerable excess capacity in the Canadian economy, and that the recovery continues to require extraordinary monetary policy support. We remain committed to holding the policy interest rate at the effective lower bound until economic slack is absorbed so that the 2 percent inflation target is sustainably achieved. In the Bank’s April projection, this happens sometime in the second half of 2022. The Bank is continuing its QE program to reinforce this commitment and keep interest rates low across the yield curve. Decisions regarding adjustments to the pace of net bond purchases will be guided by Governing Council’s ongoing assessment of the strength and durability of the recovery. We will continue to provide the appropriate degree of monetary policy stimulus to support the recovery and achieve the inflation objective.


Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is July 14, 2021. The next full update of the Bank’s outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be published in the MPR at the same time.


Recent Articles

Bank of Canada Raises Rate to 2.5% — October 28, 2026

By Dave Lacusta • October 28, 2026
On October 28, 2026, the Bank of Canada raised its key interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 2.5%. If you have a mortgage, are shopping for a home, or have a renewal coming up, this decision matters. Here is a plain-language look at what changed, why it happened, and what it could mean for you.
Couple packing boxes in a bright living room, holding a clipboard and mug near a sunny window

Renewing Your Mortgage but Planning to Move? Start With Your Exit Plan

By Dave Lacusta • October 28, 2026
Renewing your mortgage before a move? Compare short terms, open mortgages and potential penalties so your next mortgage fits your Surrey selling plans.

How Your Credit Score Impacts Mortgage Rates and Approval

By Dave Lacusta • October 21, 2026
What Lenders Mean by “Good Credit” When You Apply for a Mortgage Credit is simply the ability to borrow money today based on the trust that you’ll repay it in the future. When you apply for a mortgage, lenders want proof that you’ve consistently honoured that trust by managing credit responsibly. But what does a good credit history actually look like to a lender? The 2 / 2 / 2 Rule Explained If you’re newer to credit or want a simple way to remember minimum mortgage credit requirements, think of the 2 / 2 / 2 rule: 2 active trade lines Established for at least 2 years With a minimum combined limit of $2,000 This is a common baseline lenders use when assessing credit for mortgage financing. What Counts as a Trade Line? A trade line is any account where credit is extended to you, such as: A credit card A line of credit A car loan A personal or installment loan Each trade line reports your payment history to the credit bureau and contributes to your credit score. For a trade line to be considered active , it must: Have been used at least once, and Show activity at least once every three months Why Time Matters Lenders want to see that you’ve managed credit responsibly over time , not just recently. Using two trade lines consistently for at least two years helps demonstrate stable financial habits and reliability. Understanding Credit Limits vs. Balances The credit limit is what matters—not the balance. For example: A $1,000 credit card + a $2,500 line of credit = $3,500 total limit This meets the minimum requirement You do not need to carry a balance to build credit. In fact, the best approach is to: Use your credit regularly Pay it off in full each month (for credit cards) Make all loan payments on time If your lender offers a credit limit increase and you’re managing credit well, it’s often a good idea to accept it. Higher limits—used responsibly—can strengthen your credit profile. A Simple Way to Build Credit Automatically One effective strategy is to: Put recurring bills on your credit card Set up an automatic transfer to pay the balance in full every month Automation helps build positive credit history without requiring constant attention—just be sure to monitor your accounts to ensure everything runs smoothly. What About Credit Scores? Yes, credit scores matter—but they’re not the whole story. If you: Have two active trade lines Established for two years With at least $2,000 in total limits And no missed payments …your credit score will generally take care of itself. That said, it’s still wise to review your credit report occasionally to check for errors or unfamiliar accounts. Final Thoughts If you’re thinking about buying a home in the next couple of years, now is the perfect time to review your credit and make sure you’re on track. Small adjustments today can make a big difference when it’s time to apply for a mortgage. If you’d like help reviewing your credit or understanding how it affects your mortgage options, feel free to connect anytime. I’d be happy to walk through it with you and help you plan with confidence.
Show More